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Condo.com Coconut Grove, FL |
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Forbes: Best Cities for Home Sellers
4/9/2008 at 3:18 PM - Investments
10. Seattle, Wash.
Though Seattle doesn't suffer from oversupply, inventory last year
doubled to 1.8%, from 0.9%, which would be more problematic if 1.8%
wasn't the eighth lowest rate in the country. Seattle will get a small
boost from conforming loan adjustments, and trouble from the uptick in
inventory will likely be mitigated by strong job growth (2.8%, sixth
best in the nation) and a 42% decrease in new home construction.
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9. Charlotte, N.C.
While prices here continue to climb both on a square foot and median
price level, there was a slight increase in unsold inventory last year.
Still, strong job growth and in migration bode well for sellers.
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8. Providence, R.I.
Though prices here are falling, vacancy rates are extremely low and
falling further (dropping to 1.6% at the end of 2007, the sixth lowest
rate in the nation, from 1.8% at the end of 2006). Combine that with a
42% cut in inventory, and you're looking at a market that may slump due
to job loss (1% this year) but isn't going to turn into a buyers'
market anytime soon.
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7. Denver, Colo.
Overbuilding and a high foreclosure rate stymie Denver's housing
market, which last year saw a 6.3% drop in prices. Still, area homes
are selling, and the vacancy rate, while still at a pro-buyer 3%, last
year shrunk by 20%. The 49% drop in construction starts, the 12th
largest cut in the country, and 2% rise in new jobs, the ninth highest
rate in the country, are good news for sellers.
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6. San Antonio, Texas
Prices here rose 7.9% last quarter, based on National Association of
Realtor estimates, and its foreclosure rate was only 1% (problem
markets like Atlanta have a rate of 2.5% and crashing markets like
Detroit are over 4%). What makes San Antonio a good place for sellers
is that jobs are growing by 3%, the third highest in the country, and
construction starts have been slashed by 42%.
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5. Kansas City, Mo.
Prices in Kansas City reached highs in the second and third quarters
of 2007, before dipping in Q4. As the city gets its inventory problems
under control--the number of unsold, vacant homes fell by 40% last
year--its 2.5% vacancy rate should ease, allowing sellers to benefit
from a 2% rise in new jobs.
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4. Austin, Texas
In this affordable Lone Star State market, construction rates are in
line with job growth and population increases, and as a result
vacancies have remained steady at a healthy 1.5%. The Austin metro area
boasts the country's fastest job growth (4.1%), based on Bureau of
Labor Statistic records. The city won't benefit from the change in
conforming loan rates, but the market isn't so overextended that it
desperately needs better access to capital.
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3. Salt Lake City, Utah
Through the housing boom, Las Vegas and Phoenix lead the nation in
job growth, largely as the result of a flood of construction-related
jobs. In the bust's wake, jobs were lost, and Salt Lake City, whose
non-housing-reliant economy grew, surged past both. A 3% annual job
growth rate, paired with declining inventory (2.7% to 2.2%) and one of
the nation's sharpest declines in construction (despite not having an
overwhelming inventory glut), makes this market a good one for sellers.
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2. San Francisco, Calif.
The city by the bay's conforming loan limit recently jumped from
$417,000 to the maximum $729,750, which makes credit a simpler affair
for many of the city's home buyers. In 2006, the market felt a
softening that pushed vacancy rates up to 2.4%, but it's since firmed
as a result of a 56% cut in construction, which has cut vacancy rates
in half. The increased access to credit, thanks to the new Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac limits, and the lack of available properties plays to
sellers' interests.
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1. San Jose, Calif.
In what is largely one of the least affordable markets in the
country, sellers continue to see high returns from real estate as tech
money and venture capital money lift that economy. The advantage of
being in one of the toughest and most expensive regulatory environment
is that it's very difficult to overbuild. Even so, new home
construction dropped 63% last year, while jobs grew by 1.2%. Home
vacancies, which were already low at 1.6%, fell to a national bottom at
0.8%, making it the tightest market in the country.
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Your friend made a very good choice - as Miami is no. 5 in most riskiest market list: http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/31/homes-risky-property-forbeslife-cx_mw_0331realestate_slide_7.html?thisSpeed=20000
Orlando (2) and Detroit (1) top the list due to job market in those areas.
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Very nice post Margus!
It makes me wish I had a house to sell in one of those markets.
I have a real estate agent friend who was living in Miami during the latest boom and moved to Charlotte North Carolina once the market started cooling off in Miami.
He got lucky with his choice of move I guess.
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